Observer Report
London
Oil prices steadied on Monday as news that China planned to ship large volumes of US crude in August and September countered rising tensions between the two countries and a delay in the review of their trade pact over the weekend.
Brent crude LCOc1 was down $0.13, or 0.3%, to $44.67 a barrel by 1048 GMT and US West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 was down $0.04, or 0.1%, to $41.97 a barrel.
The emergence of new coronavirus hot spots, particularly in Europe, also put pressure on fuel demand and oil prices, analysts said, while a weak dollar lent some support.
“Clearly, the market is not tightening as quickly as initially anticipated. Demand is taking longer than expected to get back to normal levels,” ING Group said.
Market sentiment soured after the United States and China delayed a review of their Phase 1 trade deal initially slated for Saturday, citing scheduling conflicts.
However, in a positive signal, Chinese state-owned oil firms have tentatively booked tankers to transport at least 20 million barrels of US crude for August and September.
Investors are also looking for more clues on future supply from a meeting this week of a panel representing ministers of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, a group known as OPEC+.
The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) monitors OPEC+ production curbs agreed earlier this year. Last month, the JMMC recommended that cuts be eased from August 1 to about 7.7 million barrels per day (bpd) from a reduction of 9.7 million bpd since May, in line with an earlier OPEC+ agreement.
Iran Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said “OPEC’s performance has been successful because the price of oil has risen from $16 in May to around $45 and has stabilised.”
ANZ estimated that demand had risen 8 million bpd over the past four months to 88 million bpd – still 13 million bpd below this time last year.
In the United States, the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating last week remained anchored at a record low for a 15th week, even as higher oil prices prompt some producers to start drilling again.
