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CPEC & BRI 2023 and Beyond: A Prospective Review

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Elite oriented model of Pakistan’s economy badly needs initiation, implementation and completion of CPEC projects in the country. Due to skyrocketing inflation the ratios of poverty and unemployment are getting momentum which can be reduced through completion of numerous mega projects of socio-economic development in the country.

The formation of the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) is now accelerating the inflow of Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs). The combination of CPEC and SIFC would be an ideal platform to streamline all pending issues and remove all existing bureaucratic hurdles in the country.

CPEC in 2023 achieved great success and lots of social development projects have been completed. According to the caretaker Minister for Planning, Development and Special Initiatives 36 projects with a cumulative value of US$24 billion have been successfully completed under the CPEC. Additionally, 22 projects with a total investment of US$5 billion are currently under construction. Negotiations are underway for 26 projects, totalling US$27 billion under the CPEC framework. Furthermore, 27 other projects dedicated to the social and economic development of Balochistan are actively under implementation.

The development of Gwadar city and the Gwadar port remains a central focus of CPEC. Alongside, 27 other projects aimed at Balochistan’s social and economic development are actively underway. The master plan for Gwadar city, the East Expressway and an international airport showcase significant progress. The first phase of the Gwadar Free Zone, covering 60 acres, has been completed, with Phase-2 currently in progress. Various completed projects, such as the Pakistan China Vocational and Technical Institute and the 1.2 MGD desalination plant show strategic social development of CPEC.

The Pak-China Friendship Hospital, boasting 300 beds and modern facilities, is nearing completion, alongside the finishing stages of the port-dredging project. The China-Pakistan Joint Horticulture Laboratory in Quetta, the distribution of ten thousand solar lighting units and the establishment of a 20-bed burn centre and a medical emergency centre in Quetta confirm CPEC’s significant contribution to Balochistan. Furthermore, Phase-1 of the Bostan Economic Zone has been completed, with Phase-2 currently under consideration by the Balochistan Government. Moreover, the signing of the ML-I project and many other mega projects during the visit of caretaker Prime Minister Anwar Ul Haq Kakar to China will be beneficial to the country upon completion. The macro-economy of Pakistan would be in a better position.

The BRI is now rapidly changing the lives of common people in the Middle East region. In Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, Chinese-made intelligent logistics robots are successfully transforming their states, societies and systems. In Dubai, Chinese-built robots are patrolling the city’s malls and tourist attractions. It also injects new impetus into the region’s economic diversification goal.

Hopefully, in future, the BRI will continue to prevail and progress toward digitalization, qualitative industrialization, technological innovation and green energy. It seems that greater emphasis will be prioritized on high-quality and sustainable development to counter the prevailing disruptions in the global supply chains because of unilateral sanctions of the US against China.

The BRI will assist the member countries and the world into a joint sustainable path achieving new levels of modernization and opening-up. So far more than 3000 projects have been completed in the last decade and completion of more projects will further enhance its strategic importance in the future.

Undoubtedly, the year 2024 can be a new starting point for high-quality BRI cooperation and stimulate efforts to build a global community of shared future.

In Saudi Arabia, Chinese AI enterprises standing at the culmination of the development of BRI in the first decade are now planning to bolster tech ties with the local markets.

Interestingly, China-based SenseTime has signed a deal with Saudi Company for Artificial Intelligence (SCAI) to jointly build a state-of-the-art AI lab in Saudi Arabia to train local high-end AI talents and advance the country’s AI-tech ecosystem. It will give immense economic, social benefits to deepening AI cooperation in the fields including digital infrastructure, smart city, smart tourism, smart industrial park, healthcare and autonomous driving.

Chinese leading new energy vehicle (NEV)-maker BYD will build an assembly plant in Hungary, which is its first European EV production factory. Hungary was the first European country to sign a BRI cooperation document with China in 2015.

Technological and digital cooperation as well as green development, are listed among the new sectors for BRI cooperation in the next decade and will serve as the new economic drivers in all the member countries.

In summary, President Xi outlined eight major steps that China will undertake to bolster high-quality BRI cooperation, notably emphasizing the ongoing promotion of green development. China is set to actively implement the Green Investment Principles for the BRI.

China will initiate green energy financing and sustainable infrastructure as part of the BRI which will enhance its overall capacity to decarbonize economies of the member countries. Thus BRI will be the biggest climate change neutralizer in the world.

In Southeast Asia, Chinese firms are fostering the region’s green transformation. In November 2023, state-owned Power Construction Corporation of China (PowerChina) signed a deal with Thai enterprise to jointly build a 1,000-megawatts wind power project in Laos, which is said to be the largest in Southeast Asia by completion.

According to the Chinese official figures, by 2040, BRI is projected to boost world GDP by US$7.1 trillion per year, and this raises world GDP by 4.2 percent of likely GDP in 2040.

The BRI will offer a holistic and comprehensive roadmap about the common path to global modernization, especially for its member countries and developing countries. Moreover, the Chinese global modernization will assist BRI’s ultimate goal to build a global community of shared future.

It appears that the BRI in the next decade aims for balance and aims to promote common development through cooperation and joint governance among member countries and globally. Immediate adjustments to BRI implementation are suggested to adapt to a continuously changing global environment, effectively addressing rising economic uncertainties, supply chain fragmentation, and widening divisions in the upcoming years.

2024 marks the commencement of the second decade of the BRI journey. The development of the BRI should be viewed as a long-term endeavor, akin to a ‘long march,’ with its vision’s implementation being systematic, long-term, and on a large scale.

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