War in Ukraine — geo strategic vortex
UKRAINIAN People are dying.EU, US and Ukraine President.Zelensky are crying.The question is where was EU and US when people were being massacred in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen and many other places — asks Mr Putin.
Zelensky has threatened to acquire nuclear weapons in this backdrop.By now over 15 million refugees have fled to neighboring countries.Russia has warned on this development.
Russia has reminded they are a major nuclear power and such a development will not go unnoticed.
Major nuclear power plant, Zaporizhzhia has been taken over of by Russian forces; the plant is meeting twenty percent electricity requirements of Ukraine.
US and Western propaganda machinery is in full-swing that nuclear leakages can cause UN precedence damage.
Reportedly IAEA officials plan to visit the site.Due effort of various powers, three rounds of talks have taken place.
Temporary cease-fire to provide corridors for outsiders was agreed but has broken by Russians on the plea that Ukraine is trying to regroup its forces.
Reportedly it is being observed to make corridor for evacuations.Also reportedly about twenty thousand volunteers from Europe have lined up to fight Russians.
Russia has warned, it cannot allow Ukraine soul to be used against Russia.Ukrainian people must ask their government to define its role .
Russia gave concrete proposals for European security; it asserts the US pressure is not allowing the EU to move forward.
Apparently US has different agenda.The EU summit is expected on Mar 10.Russia blames, NATO is trying to have dominance in Europe.Whereas Putin is adhering to the constitution of Russia and all actions are in the realm of law.
Interestingly, UN has’ no ODC border’ i.e.no demarcated boundaries map of Ukraine with UN.As such it does not exist as sovereign country and the matter was raised by Secretary General Ban Ki Moon way back in 1991.
In UN papers Ukraine does not exist as an independent country.Legally and technically thus it an administrative controlled area of Russian Federation.
Putin in his various speeches and in meetings thoroughly explained this fact before the conflict-escalated.
Further, EU has gone back on 1991 accord and has been expanding EU into newly created East European countries.
Russia claim, has its own doctrine on nuclear war, in response to Ukraine President’s threat of going nuclear.But Russia cannot take Zelensky lightly.It is a serious threat it cannot be off the cuff statement.
Unfortunate on such a serious threat.Western media turned blind eye.Zelensky is a neo Nazi and anything can be expected –Moscow nuclear war is not on our mind.
Russia strongly rebutted.We will not allow such provocations EU is trying to close all media outlets on Russia so that world is making believe what western media say.
Putin warned on the flood of fake news, punishment for that and against Russian armed forces has been increased to fifteen years.
Zelensky being Nanolite support Neo Nazi groups.Whereas WW 3 rhetoric is not coming from Russia, this thread is being spread in social media.
French correspondent witnessed the bombing in Don Bas by these groups.Assurances in the past to Russia have not been honoured.
Russia will be glad to see France trying for peaceSo far over 14000 people are killed in Donbas in the last eight years.In this context Russia is concerned about the security of chemical labs in Ukraine.
These may not fall in the hands of Neo Nazi groups Western media has turned blind eye on committed atrocities in Don Bas and Donetsk Regions.Reply to western correspondence we can condole on the suffering of the people.
On a question you started war, Russian FM Lavrov said I understand what you want in the answer.
Russia reject all accusations.We have Afghanistan’s killing in front in the last twenty years.So was Iraq, Syria and Libya.
We are ready to negotiate but cannot stop war till our conditions are met.
We will be happy to see France in peacemaker role.There were long parlays but nothing turned out, as of today France, Turkey and Israel are trying to negotiate.
German Canceller Mr Olaf is also in contact with Russian President.Putin asserts.Germany did not do anything to force Ukraine to honour its commitments.
The West ignored Russia Security concerns and thus Russia is compelled to take action for its own security.
Presently Russia faces joint EU and US encirclement militarily, financially, communication blockade, and socially.
We see EU and US are unifying against Russia but Russia has not reacted and stopped the energy flow to Europe, Germany alone is dependent on Russia for its 56% energy requirements.Germany and France both avoided touching energy sector for obvious reasons.
Alternate arrangements will take time and will benefit US LNG sale.But is US goading Europe to boycott energy sector, and has as of today imposed sanction on Russian oil.
The US imports are about 7 percent and Mr.Bidden has released sizeable reserves.Yet the prices in US are all time high, more than $7.
Russia will survive but economic and financial loss to Europe will be phenomenal and will take years to recover as it is just recovering from COVID -19 Pandemic impact.
The revolt has occurred from Germany’s Eon Company which has refused to follow ban, so is the German Government.
A new phenomenon, the countries not towing the line of US are being bullied, Pakistan and UAE are one example.
Interestingly India is not pushed.Pak is a special target as present government announced to have an independent policy.
Already, concerns are voiced by the Government that the present political storm is sponsored.
Likely, war may escalate, volunteers for Ukraine army are increasing, provision of Jet fighters through Poland, and above all areas falling under Russia may face terrorist insurgency through neo Nazi brigade and volunteers.
Russia has warned NATO and EU.The problem is most complex politically and geo strategically.
It has global and regional implications.It is felt most of the US and European critics are underestimating Russia.
They are ignoring the strategic prowess of Russia.This will be a grave mistake which may push the world in a new vortex.
—The author is recipient of SJ, SI (M), IS Gallantry (Bar) of 1965 and 1971 wars.
With 27 years of Corporate expertise, is seasoned Defence and Industry analyst.
