IMF’s April 2026 report shows grim picture for Pakistan, primarily due to its extreme dependence on Middle Eastern energy.
GDP growth for the next fiscal year (2026-27) is downgraded to 3.5%. Projections have been hiked to 8.4% as energy costs bite. The current account deficit is set to double to $5 billion (0.9% of GDP).
Pakistan imports 90% of its energy from the Middle East, making it one of the most vulnerable nations to regional war-related supply shocks.

