Beyond Dubai: Pakistan’s moment

Dr Samreen Bari Aamir

JUST as a multipolar world is considered essential for maintaining peace and stability in international relations, a diversified structure of multiple business and economic hubs is vital for the smooth functioning of the global economy.

When economic activity is concentrated in only a few regions, conflict or instability can send shockwaves across the world, as recent crises have shown. The global economic crunch highlights how vulnerable the system becomes when over-reliant on limited centers of trade and production. Since the start of the US+Israel-Iran war, the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) General Index has lost about $45bn, while the ADX General Index has shed about $75bn. According to Al Jazeera, UAE markets in Dubai and Abu Dhabi have lost about $120 billion in value, placing them among the hardest-hit globally. Thousands of flights have been canceled via Dubai’s international airport, the world’s busiest for international passengers. Tourism and travel, contributing about $70bn and 13 percent of UAE GDP, have also been affected. (Power, 2026)

Recent developments suggest Dubai’s long-standing image as a secure and reliable global hub is under serious strain. For decades, Dubai has built its reputation on being insulated from regional instability, attracting global investors, businesses and wealth with the promise of safety and continuity. However, the latest conflicts in the region, particularly retaliatory strikes and rising geopolitical tensions, have exposed vulnerabilities that were previously overlooked. Key infrastructure, including airports and ports, has been affected, investor confidence has been shaken and businesses have begun reassessing their operations. Analysts note that Dubai’s “safe-haven” status is increasingly in doubt, especially if instability persists, prompting global capital to consider alternative locations. (Reuters)

This evolving situation underscores a broader structural reality: overreliance on a few established hubs creates fragility in the global economic system. When a major hub like Dubai is disrupted, ripple effects spread across global trade, finance and logistics. Therefore, developing multiple economic and maritime hubs across regions is essential to ensure resilience and stability in international commerce. In this context, Pakistan has a strategic opportunity. By accelerating the development of Karachi Port into a modern deep-sea port, it can position itself as a viable alternative within global trade networks. As investors and companies diversify risk and seek safer routes, Karachi can fill an emerging gap. This is not merely an infrastructure upgrade but a strategic move aligned with shifting global dynamics, allowing Pakistan to strengthen its economic position and emerge as a regional and global connectivity hub.

Developing and strengthening multiple economic hubs across regions is not merely an option but a necessity. Such diversification can help distribute risk more evenly, ensuring that if one region faces political instability, conflict or an economic downturn, other regions can sustain the flow of goods, services and investments. This would contribute to greater resilience in the global economy, helping stabilize markets and prevent severe disruptions. Moreover, the presence of multiple economic centers can play a crucial role in controlling inflation by maintaining steady supply chains and preventing shortages that often drive prices upward. It can also promote balanced development, reduce inequality between regions and create more opportunities for trade, innovation and employment worldwide. Ultimately, a world supported by several strong and interconnected economic hubs is better equipped to ensure long-term prosperity, stability and sustainable growth for all.

Right now, major maritime routes around the Middle East and Strait of Hormuz face instability due to conflicts and Houthi attacks, disrupting key ports like Jebel Ali, one of the world’s busiest transshipment hubs and pushing shipping firms to seek safer alternatives. Pakistan’s upgrade of Karachi Port is therefore significant. The port is being transformed into a deep-sea facility by increasing depth from 11.3 meters to 14 meters, with berths at 15.5 meters, enabling Panamax and Post-Panamax vessels up to 350 meters and 100,000 tons. This expansion boosts cargo handling, now about 54 million tons and rising, generating revenue, jobs and investment in logistics and infrastructure. It strengthens Pakistan’s regional trade role and CPEC connectivity while contributing to global supply chain stability by offering a reliable alternative hub.

Second, increased cargo handling (54 million tons and rising) means more revenue, more jobs and more investment in Pakistan’s logistics and infrastructure sectors. It also strengthens Pakistan’s role in regional trade, especially when connected with projects like CPEC. Third, from a global perspective, multiple economic hubs create stability. If one region becomes unstable, others can take over and keep global trade flowing. Pakistan’s positioning of Karachi as a reliable alternative helps reduce global supply chain disruptions, control costs and maintain economic balance. In simple terms, Pakistan is turning a global crisis into an opportunity by upgrading its port; it is stepping into a gap in the global system and potentially becoming a key player in international trade.

—The writer occasionally contributes to the national press.

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