Kashmir: Dream or an Inevitable reality?

Naveed Ahman Khan

For over seven decades, the people of Jammu & Kashmir have lived under one of the world’s longest and most painful political disputes.

Since 1947, when the princely state was forcibly annexed into India under controversial circumstances, the promise of self-determination made to Kashmiris by the United Nations remains unfulfilled. The struggle for sovereignty and peace in India-occupied Kashmir (IOK) continues to define South Asia’s most sensitive fault line. Kashmir is not merely a territorial dispute—it is a humanitarian and moral question rooted in justice and self-determination. Yet, despite countless UN resolutions and decades of resistance, the irony of an “unsolved Kashmir” persists. Why has it remained frozen in time, and what must happen for Kashmir to emerge as an independent and peaceful state?

The tragedy of Kashmir began with betrayal. When the British Raj partitioned the subcontinent in 1947, the Muslim-majority state of Jammu & Kashmir was expected to accede to Pakistan under the principles of partition. However, the Hindu ruler Maharaja Hari Singh, supported by New Delhi, chose to join India—sparking the first Indo-Pak war and dividing the region by the Line of Control (LoC). The United Nations intervened, urging both nations to hold a plebiscite allowing Kashmiris to decide their future. But India, after consolidating control, reneged on its commitment. Over time, New Delhi’s policies turned Kashmir into a militarized zone rather than a democratic space. Nearly a million Indian troops patrol the region, making it one of the most heavily militarized territories in the world. The abrogation of Article 370 in August 2019—revoking Kashmir’s limited autonomy—further stripped away any pretense of democracy. For Kashmiris, this was not a legal change but a symbolic act of occupation. The reasons behind this unresolved issue are multilayered. First, India’s geopolitical ambitions are central. By holding onto Kashmir, India asserts itself as a regional hegemon and a secular democracy claiming to accommodate all faiths. Any compromise, it fears, would expose its contradictions and fuel separatist movements elsewhere.

Second, international hypocrisy sustains the deadlock. While global powers champion democracy and human rights, they remain silent on Kashmir. The United States, Britain, and Europe prioritize strategic and economic ties with India over justice for Kashmiris. Their double standards—condemning aggression in Ukraine or Gaza while ignoring Srinagar—reveal the moral bankruptcy of global diplomacy. Third, Pakistan’s limited diplomatic leverage and internal instability have weakened its ability to build sustained international pressure. Despite Islamabad’s consistent advocacy, especially at the United Nations and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC), the global response remains muted. Meanwhile, India aggressively projects Kashmir as an internal matter—a claim powerful Western capitals have tacitly accepted.

Fragmentation within Kashmiri leadership has further diluted the movement. While some factions support merger with Pakistan, others demand full independence, and a few seek autonomy within India. This lack of unity allows New Delhi to exploit divisions and maintain control through military suppression and political manipulation. Despite these challenges, the dream of Kashmiri sovereignty is not extinguished. For it to materialize peacefully, several conditions must align. First, Kashmiri unity is vital. The leadership—across religious, ethnic, and political lines—must agree on one agenda: the right to self-determination. Without cohesion, the movement risks appearing fragmented and losing credibility. Second, Pakistan’s diplomatic revival is crucial. Islamabad must reframe the issue not merely as a bilateral dispute but as a humanitarian crisis demanding global attention. The focus should remain on human rights violations, demographic engineering, and suppression of civil liberties under Indian rule.

Third, international involvement must be reactivated. The United Nations cannot remain silent. New global realities—such as the rise of multipolar power centers and renewed focus on human rights—offer opportunities to build alliances beyond traditional Western powers, including China, Turkey, Malaysia, and Gulf states. Fourth, nonviolent resistance should replace armed insurgency. In the age of information warfare, the pen and camera are mightier than the gun. Peaceful protests, human rights documentation, and diaspora advocacy can expose India’s repression to the world—just as South Africa’s anti-apartheid struggle did.

Lastly, demographic changes threaten Kashmir’s cultural and social fabric. By settling non-Kashmiris in the region, India seeks to dilute its Muslim majority and permanently alter its identity—an act of demographic colonialism that could make any future plebiscite meaningless. The sovereignty and peaceful future of Indian-occupied Kashmir remain distant but not impossible. History shows that no power can suppress a people’s collective will forever. Kashmir’s struggle is not just about borders—it is about dignity, justice, and the right to live free from fear. Supporting Kashmir is not an act of charity; it is a moral obligation rooted in faith, history, and humanity. The world may ignore Kashmir today, but peace in South Asia will remain a myth until the valley of Srinagar breathes the air of freedom. The question is not whether Kashmir will be free—but when, and at what cost.

—The writer is editor, political analyst and author of several books based in Islamabad.

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