Regional scenario: Conspiracies & choices

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Aqib S Paracha

THE sub continent is anticipating some phenomenon very unusual nowadays. What initiated this atmosphere horrific is the Uri attack whose suspects are till anonymous. The ongoing provocation of Indian forces at LoC is also maintaining the situation bewildering. This all settling has once again brought both the traditional competitors on the apex of conflict. Aside from the traditional rivals, United States and China are scrutinizing the unfolding thoughtfully. Their close observation is a clear indication of the fact that how important this regional unfolding would be.
United States and India, the two heart- throbs are exploring every possibility for enhancing their bilateral relations in parallel to containing the regional development agenda put forwarded by China. Certainly, their long term agenda is the containment of China which naturally would be troublesome for Pakistan. The alignment of Afghanistan into the Indo-United States nexuses is a part of this master plan.
Alongside this, China and Pakistan are partners in the Economic Corridor project that further obligates China and Pakistan to extend diplomatic support for each other on regional and global platforms. Contemporarily, these associations are undergoing important phases where any small immature act would risk the stability of the entire region. Undoubtedly, Pakistan and India are the stakeholders whom should act rigidly mature for the stability of this region. Otherwise these same would have to bear the loss as their partners are geographically aside.
At the global level PM Modi’s propaganda is not up to that mark but regionally he is giving a tough time to Islamabad. His swaggering visits to Iran and his ongoing handshakes with President Ghani are part of the same plan. The India- Iran-Afghanistan Chabahar Initiative could said to be a regional integration initiative but characterizing Chabahar as a counter weight to Gawadar is not the illustration of bitterness then what? Issues between Pakistan and India are still there as they were decades ago. New Delhi must be aware of the fact that including Kashmir, issues pertaining to water, Siachen and Indian’s involvement in Balochistan has tide that could flow up to that level which is definitely too dangerous. Conventionally strong India should comprehend fact that India’s attitude will result into regional insecurity.
Circumstances now a day’s are to the level that is not admirable and to continue with these circumstances is delicate for these two states. The Indo-US partnership is if more than making India economically strong then it’s not commendable. Likewise to disguise his failed efforts to eradicate terrorism from its soil, India must avoid blaming Pakistan upon terrorism. The global community admires the fact that Pakistan is battling the world’s largest campaign “Zarb-i-Azb” against terrorism. Pakistan has also mentioned in front of the global community that this is the fight of Pakistan’s survival. Subsequently, after the apprehension of Kulbhushan Yadav India’s involvement in Balochistan is evident.
India’s inclusion to the Security Council and other platforms would be admirable when India will end violating the international laws. In Pakistan there exists a consensus among civil military leadership that constructive engagement with India on issues of Kashmir, LoC, and Siachen etc will not be just profitable for both countries but for the entire region. India must therefore needs to stop portraying the wrong stories because Pakistan’s prevailing economic and military status is more than enough to give a tough time to India.
— The writer is Research Affiliate Strategic Vision Institute, a think-tank based in Islamabad.