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Monday, November 9, 2009, Zhul-Q'ada 20, 1430

 
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Arm the Afghans and get out

Air Marshal Ayaz A Khan (R)

Arm the Afghan Army and the Afghan Police and get out” is the thinking and desire of the American politicians, the public, the media, the military and the Administration. NATO and ISAF are planning for such a strategy. Indicators are President Barak Obama’s statements, and top priority given by General MaCrystal to the training and re –equipment of Afghan National Army and the Afghanistan national Police Force. Sixty eight thousand NATO troops, including forty thousand American Army and US Marine officers, non-commissioned officers and GI’s are engaged in this challenging task. President Barak Obama wants the GI’s to return home safely, but this is not possible until a strong Afghan National Army, and National Police can take over the task of national defense and internal security; and that could take twenty years.

Afghan Army has a bleak past and a dubious history, and lacks military traditions. From 1960 to 1990 Afghan Army was trained and equipped by the Soviet Union. By 1992 the national army had fragmented into regional militias under warlords and drug barons. During the Taliban rule that followed, the army was disbanded, and the Taliban raised their own armed forces, led by Taliban and Islamic clerics. After the exit of Mullah Omar in 2001, Afghan National Army started taking shape with US and NATO help. Since 2002 the United States has spent billions of dollars on recruitment, equipment, weapons, munitions, facilities and state of the art housing and medical facilities for the new Afghan Army. US, British, German, Canadian trainers and instructors from 42 NATO countries are providing basic and advanced warfare training to theAfghan army officers and soldiers.

In October 2009 Afghan National Army-ANA had seventy five thousand trained troops on active duty. Afghan ministry of defense has plans for a 134000 army. US President Barak Obama has called for a massive expansion to a 260000 strong Afghan National Army at a cost of twenty billion dollars. The time scale is only five years. This is an impossible aim. It cannot be done. It is an impossible goal, because recruits are hard to get. The pay at $ 100 per month is low. The Pushtun youth are under Taliban influence, and Taliban threats intimidation and influence is pervasive. The US and Afghan authorities are offering cash and vocational stipends to encourage the youth to join the volunteer National Army and Police. The current plan is to raise seventy five infantry battalions, of six hundred soldiers each. Fourteen infantry Brigades with three battalions each, are already in place. An Afghan Army Brigade has only 1800 soldiers, as compared to 4000 to 5000 troops in a Pakistan Army Brigade. ANA has six Corps, of two Brigades each. 201 Corps in Kabul has No-1 and No-2 Brigades under command. No-1 Brigade defends the Presidents palace, along with a contingent of US Army troops. No-2 Brigade is stationed at Pul-e- Chakri.

No 203 Corps with two Brigades under command, is stationed at Gerdez. Each ANA Corp’s has an aviation component of eight helicopters. Four of these are for transportation, two are gunship-attack helicopters and two for medical duties. 205 the biggest Corps with four brigades is at Kandhar. General Sher Mohammad is the Corp’s Commander. It is responsible for Kandhar, Helmand, Zabul, Nimroz and Orazgan provinces. This Corp’s has a commando battalion, and three garrison cantonments. 207 Corp’s at Herat has two brigades; one at Heart and the other at Farah. No 2009 Corps at Mazar-e-Sharif is integrated with the German led regional command. Its two brigades are at Mazar-e-Sharif and at Kunduz. Army Corps of Engineers is also based at Mazar-e-Sharif. ANA has received 4500 armor plated Humvees and 104000 M-16 Assault Rifles. Large number of Humvees have been destroyed by mines, road side bombs, and from Taliban attacks, during transportation through the Khyber Pass. ANA suffers from acute shortage of artillery and armor. Fighting Taliban in the hilly terrain without armor, artillery and air cover is not possible.

The 6th Corps is the Afghan National Air Corps i.e. The Afghan Air Force, which suffered extinction during the Taliban rule. Six Commando battalions intensively trained and equipped, are to be deployed in Southern Afghanistan to help Canadian forces to crush enhanced Taliban insurgency in the area. The insurgency is now wide spread. The US Army strategy of retreat to towns and cities, has left the rural areas i.e. 70% of Afghanistan under the control of the Taliban insurgents. Six posts along the Pak-Afghan border manned jointly by American and Afghan troops have been vacated, leaving the border open for the Taliban. The Afghan Army strength is far short of the requirement of defense and security for the vast Afghan spaces. ANA has suffered heavily in ambushes, encounters and battles with the elusive and hardy Taliban.

Afghan National Police of eighty thousand is poorly trained. Common Afghan hates the corrupt constables. It is planned to be expanded the police force to 160000 constables. With improper Police recruitment procedure’s, no vetting of the police recruits, and only two months of shoddy training policemen, are under trained, non-professional and poorly led. Raw recruits are dispatched to outposts, where they become sitting ducks for the ferocious and experienced Taliban guerrilla fighters. One thousand Afghan policemen were killed in 2008 and another one thousand during 2009. Twice that number of policemen were injured and kidnapped. Thus policemen are demoralized, and many are synmpathetic to the Taliban Afghan policemen have killed US and British soldiers, and then defected .The deaths of five British soldiers at the hands of an Afghan policeman with whom they were working, has unleashed an outcry in Britain.

This incident has highlighted the vulnerability of the Western troops as they train the Afghan military and police. This attack occurred at midday on November 04,2009, in Helmand province. The British instructors were relaxing in the warm autumn sun, at a joint Check Point, when their Afghan police colleague opened fire on them. The attack came as the public support for the Afghan war in America, Britain, Germany, and other forty member NATO nations has become extremely shaky. The war has taken a heavy toll of America and British soldiers. About one thousand American GI’s, and one hundred British Tommy’s have been killed and three times that number injured. In a letter to Los Angeles Times ( daily circulation runs into millions) Irwin Spector from Tolica Lake- California writes, “Well here we are, stuck with another failed leader (Hamid Karzai), while our brave young soldiers come home with broken bodies and addled brains.

We really ought to forget about President Hamid Karzai and go directly to the Afghan people: not to protect them, but to arm and train them, and then promptly leave. If they - the people of Afghanistan really want to enter the modern world, they will quickly dispatch the Taliban, and Karzai’s corrupt government in the bargain. On the other hand may be they would rather live in the 10th century, and will embrace the Taliban. In any case let it be their decision and not ours. Americans are sick and tired of seeing precious lives and resources lost to the vanities of a handful of misguided men in Washington”. But the situation is not as simple as that. NATO-US retreat will imply defeat of the armed might of the mightiest military powers on earth. Taliban-Al-Qaeda will then seek distant horizons much beyond Kabul. Islamabad with its nuclear weapon capability will be the next target. That must not happen, because it will jeopardize global security. But with rural Afghanistan in the control of the Taliban, families of soldiers and policemen remain at risk.Afghan National Police has been infiltrated by the Taliban. In Wardak province during joint patrolling an Afghan policeman fired on American soldiers killing two of them. Can such a police force take on the role of combating Taliban insurgency? Whether this police constable was a rogue or not, the episode could be repeated. There is a wide chasm between the Karzai government and the majority Pushtun population. In Pakistan the nation is with the armed forces, but this is not so in Afghanistan. Hamid Karzai is judged as a puppet and a Quizling, who cannot survive without US-NATO armed might.

An important part of the US-NATO counter insurgency strategy is to train more Afghan troops and police officers to protect the Afghan people and government., in the hope of reducing tensions and frustration created by the presence of foreign troops. But the prospects of a viable and reliable Afghan military and police force able to do that is nowhere near. US and NATO forces withdrawal from Afghanistan, if not properly planned could be like the Vietnam fiasco. Afghanistan would be lost to the Al-Qaeda- Taliban, and planet earth will become unsafe for Western civilizations. America and NATO are trapped in the Afghan quicksand. Patience and wisdom of the highest order is required to extract from this quagmire. Instead of hurried and unplanned troop withdrawal, an intelligent exit strategy be formulated. Shortcomings in the recruitment, training, pay, allowances and amenities of ANA and police be streamlined; and the majority Pushtun population be compensated for the losses and damage suffered by them. The United Sates and the West owes an apology to the people of Afghanistan for the sufferings, destruction and damage inflicted on them.

 

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