Indo-US-Israeli objectives of denuclearisation, Balkanisation and
secularisation of Pakistan and turning it into a vassal state of India
will be achieved preferably through ongoing covert operations alone
supplemented by infamous Kerry-Lugar bill. Already lot of progress has
been achieved by our adversaries in destabilising Pakistan. In case they
fail to get hold of our nuclear assets and Pakistan refuses to accept
pre-eminence of India, Indian armed forces will then be asked to
operationalise its Cold Start doctrine by launching limited attacks, or
combination of limited attacks and all out Indo-Pak war depending upon
the success achieved in battle of frontiers and neutralisation of our
nukes. The aim would be cut Pakistan into small quasi states of
Balochistan, Sindhudesh, Jinnahpur, Pashtunistan, Punjabistan and
Balwaristan. Parameters of the plan conceived in late 2001 to truncate
Pakistan and duly modified subsequently were as under:
Convert Afghanistan into a permanent military base and intelligence
centre of six agencies to plan, coordinate and launch sustained covert
operations against Pakistan till the achievement of laid down
objectives. Stir up fissiparous tendencies in smaller provinces and
foment hatred against Punjab and army. Karachi Port to be converted into
American naval base wherefrom it could overlook Iran, Afghanistan, China
and Central Asia and also gain full monopoly over Indian Ocean. In case
of refusal by Pakistan to allow this facility, the MQM to attain this
objective by first neutralising all its political opponents at grass
roots level and at regional level and gain complete political ascendancy
in urban Sindh. President Musharraf to provide requisite support by
decimating MQM Haqiqui and looking the other way to all its high handed
tactics. Cultivate Bugtis, Marris and Mengals and others aspiring for
Baloch rights and foment unrest in Balochistan. Promise them independent
Balochistan with Gwadar as its free port and control over energy
resources. Map of independent Balochistan has been floated. Provide all
kinds of war munitions to the rebels and establish Farari camps making
best use of four air bases in Balochistan under occupation of US forces
since October 2001 and the adjoining soil of Afghanistan. Espouse the
cause of Baloch, denounce military operation against them and assure
insurgents of direct military support once the insurgency in Balochistan
reaches high intensity stage.
Create fake Taliban in FATA, equip and fund them to be able to spread
unrest in FATA and NWFP and defame Pakistan by pasting charges of
religious extremism and terrorism. Help in establishing Tehrik-e-Taliban
under Baitullah Mehsud and in expanding its influence in FATA, NWFP and
poverty stricken South Punjab on the false pretext of introducing Sharia
to win public support. Lower the image and credibility of the army by
pushing it into FATA and by launching a well orchestrated media
campaign. Oust religious and other conservative political parties in
2008 general elections and bring in liberal parties in power. Put the
noose of NRO around the necks of leadership and make them subservient to
wishes of Washington. ANP under Asfandyar Wali, a traditional
pro-Congress party, to help in working towards creation of Pakhtunkhwa
comprising Pashtun regions of Pakistan and Afghanistan. A map to this
effect was recently on display on billboards in the province. Enfeeble
state institutions and turn legislature into a rubber stamp under a
powerful president. Lock up two to three Corps in northwest, exhaust and
demoralise counter insurgent forces and get them attuned to fighting low
intensity war. Likewise pin down one Corps in Balochistan dealing with
Baloch insurgency; thus reduce strategic options of Pak army in central
and southern Punjab and in the desert belt. Create conditions wherein
troops fighting counter insurgency are unable to move back to confront
Indian threat. Malign Pakistan’s nuclear program and magnify threat of
religious extremism and theft of nuclear bombs by terrorists, forcing
Pakistan to either roll it up or hand it over to USA. Create an
atmosphere of gloom and doom through Jewish controlled electronic and
print media and paid writers and intellectuals within Pakistan that
Pakistan is falling apart. Create economic crisis and bring it to the
brink of default to exert maximum pressure on the NRO cleansed
leadership and make it agree to Indo-US demands. Speed up building dams
on all rivers flowing into Pakistan with a view to turn Punjab
agricultural lands barren.
Once the internal situation becomes murky and desired imbalance is
induced in system of forces, India to activate eastern front by staging
a drama of terrorism and blaming Pakistan as it had done in December
2001. Mumbai drama in November 2008 was also an act in that direction
but it backfired. India to move troops to the border under the garb of
winter exercises in November 2009 or playing up threat from Pakistan as
it has done several times. Heat up LoC in Kashmir on a false pretext and
capture an important post to provoke Pakistan to react. Making it into
an excuse, launch limited attacks under the concept of Cold Start
doctrine all along the border against at least 14-15 shallow objectives
but each one threatening sensitive spaces in depth thereby forcing
Pakistan lacking in strategic depth to fight for every inch of the
territory and even moving its strategic reserves well forward.
Once bulk of our forces are embroiled in battle of frontiers and our two
strategic reserves locked up in corridors away from their areas of
interest, strike formations to be brought into action for the decisive
action. Prior to launching main offensive, conduct extensive air
operations and also quarantine Pakistan by affecting sea-blockade in
Indian Ocean. After achieving air supremacy in the south, launch main
effort in the desert sector from Shahgarh base of operation to cut main
GT Road in Reti-Rahimyar Khan sector and establish bridgehead over Indus
to breakout towards deeper objectives. De-link Sindh and then launch
manoeuvre of exploitation to link up with rebel forces in Sui-Bugti and
make rest of Pakistan landlocked. To create a dilemma for strategic
reserves, launch secondary effort in area south of Sutlej in Marot-Fort
Abbas area and two to three auxiliaries in other sectors together with
two brigade size amphibious operations along our coastal belt. Isolate
AJK for subsequent merger with IHK. Gilgit and Baltistan where Indian
sponsored separatist movement is already in action to be grouped and
made an independent state called Balwaristan. Afghanistan to also heat
up western border to ensure that troops in FATA and in Balochistan are
not withdrawn. Planned induction of 1,50000 Indian troops in Afghanistan
to facilitate two directional threat. (India has established an airbase
in Tajikistan which poses threat from the rear). In conjunction with
ground offensive, para-dropping planned at strategic choke points. US
imagery and satellites to provide intimate information about the
location and move of strategic forces and also to jam strategic
communications.
US drones/RDF to destroy nuclear tipped missiles when on move towards
battle locations to deprive Pakistan of its nuclear response. Impose
military and economic sanctions on Pakistan (new restrictions on
military aid penned in Kerry-Lugar Bill are a step in that direction).
Quislings/militants to make rear area security and supply routes
turbulent. Note: the war plan will be executed subject to outcome of
operation in South Waziristan. In case of success, intended offensive
will be postponed to winters of 2010 but covert operations would
continue as heretofore. Use of non-actors in the form of Black water
would be extensively used to achieve sinister objectives.