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Tuesday, October 27, 2009, Zhul-Q'ada 07, 1430

 
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Pakistan on edge

Shaima Sumaya

The three bombings that hit northwest Pakistan, killing 24 people, on October 24 has brought the death toll to 200 people this month in a string of militant attacks on military, police and civilian targets. At the same time the Pakistan Army is determined in its offensive deeper into Al-Qaeda and Taliban territory close to the Afghan border. The U.S-backed civilian government is quickly losing the support and confidence of the Pakistani people. The Pakistani people are growing increasingly frustrated, angered and impatient.

The Pakistani people as large as they are in population feel marginalised, isolated and helpless. There is a prevailing feeling of sadness and hopelessness in the Pakistani people. They feel, as by-standers not even as an audience to this on going drama of internal terrorism, US intervention, NRO, power-cuts, inflation, and failing economy. There are constant comparisons drawn between Pakistan and Iraq, people are again debating whether Pakistan is better off or worse off under a military government; people are raising important questions whether Pakistan can act independently as a sovereign State without US intervention and many more.

An important point that needs to be made here is that the ongoing situation in Pakistan is not singular to Pakistan alone, rather the international community is focused on Pakistan’s progress in the ‘War against Terror’. It is the fear of the international community that Pakistan will become a State with failed institutions, terrorism and lawlessness while being equipped with nuclear weapons and the international community will be left with no other choice than to directly intervene and police this unruly State. Hence, there are efforts being made by the international community spearheaded by USA to curb this vicious circle of internal unrest and economic turmoil in Pakistan- the latest example is the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’. President Barack Obama recently signed the Kerry-Lugar Bill into US law.

The bill, which was initiated by veteran Senators John Kerry and Richard Lugar, envisages tripling of non-military aid to Pakistan to an annual outlay of $1.5bn for five years. The only requirements are accountability measures placed on the United States executive branch to ensure that the aid directly benefits the Pakistani people. From the US point of view, this Act fully recognizes and respects the independence of Pakistan as a sovereign nation. The purpose of this Act is to forge a closer collaborative relationship between Pakistan and the United States, not to dictate the national policy or impinge on the sovereignty of Pakistan in any way. If the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’ is studied then it comes across as a sincere effort on the part of the United States to help Pakistan fight terrorism and aid the masses that are in dire need of ‘non-military aid’. The United States obviously doesn’t want the Pakistani people to be sandwiched between State institutions and foreign powers in the ‘War against Terror’. One purpose of the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’ was to create a feeling faith, trust and confidence amongst the Pakistani people. The bill seems to have done the exact opposite. Most Pakistanis view the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’ as an instrument to compromise Pakistan’s sovereignty, its actions, and is an attempt by the USA to ‘micro-manage Pakistan’ for $1.5bn a year. The Pakistani people believe that their weak and failing government has sold their State cheap. There is a wave of misgivings, rumours, and conspiracy theories from the Pakistani public to the extent that they are associating the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’ as a wider web of a US-Jewish conspiracy to control Pakistan. For anyone criticizing the ‘Kerry Lugar Bill’ it is important to read and study the bill first before criticizing it.

There are two sections in the bill, Section 203 and Section 205 that create serious reservations on the Pakistani side. These two sections highlight the strength and influence of the Indian lobby in Capital Hill. Section 203 is making serious demands on Pakistan not recognizing that Pakistan is fighting a complex war against a diverse enemy with no time limits in sight. How can Pakistan possibly give the USA guarantees that it is working and making significant progress to dismantle the illegal nuclear proliferation networks and is no longer supporting militant groups? Section 205 is unacceptable to Pakistani security establishment and its agencies for the text shows serious distrust of the American security establishment for their Pakistani counterparts and the Pakistani security establishment as powerful and influential as it is, feels seriously undermined.

What the USA doesn’t realise is that you don’t win the hearts and minds of people anywhere in the world with dollars. It is tried and tested that when the USA wherever in the world has used financial aid to gain support, it has always failed. Pakistan is an important ally in the ‘War against Terror’; it is a Muslim State with a powerful army equipped with nuclear weapons. The Pakistani people are fiercely independent and don’t appreciate any kind of foreign intervention in State matters. Already, the credibility of the present civilian government is under contention due to the infamous NRO- an ordinance that is a result of direct US intervention in the affairs of Pakistani Government. It is also an open secret that when a State is in internal chaos then the foreign States that have ulterior motives intervene into the country’s situation and try to manipulate the internal unrest in that State for their benefits and vested interests. The Pakistani people don’t separate the USA from India, Afghanistan, NATO countries, and Israel. Last but not least drone attacks and hellfire missles are not improving the situation for the USA on the ground with Pakistanis. It is so important that Pakistan and USA work as a collaborative force in fighting the global war against terrorism. This can never be done effectively unless the USA gathers the support and understanding of the Pakistani people. But judging from where the USA stands today, it wants to win the ‘War on Terror’ with or without the support of the Pakistani public. This is indeed a dangerous situation.

From the Pakistani point of view, time is of the essence, in every sense as far as affairs of the State are concerned. Pakistan has to provide its population protection and security, curb lawlessness and terrorism, prevent State institutions from failing, preserve democracy and civilian government, resurrect a failing economy, introduce socio-economic changes and remain a State that is independent and sovereign. Time is running out and so is patience from all sides and the list of failures is growing. The question is can Pakistan create a miracle in an extremely dismal and hopeless situation?

 

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