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Monday, October 19, 2009, Shawwal 29, 1930

 
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Water aggression

Anwar Ahmad

When the British divided India in 1947, two sovereign states emerged in the form of India and Pakistan. The division was made primarily on the basis of contiguous Hindu and Muslim majority areas. One exception was however sinisterly made by the British Boundary Commission when it awarded Gurdaspur District, originally planned to be allocated to Pakistan on the basis of its Muslim majority, to India.

The willful strategic folly committed by the then British Boundary Commission at the behest of Hindu pressure resulted in a perpetual dispute over Kashmir between India and Pakistan. Secondly, the Boundary Commission failed to comprehend the importance of river resources and their distributaries while partitioning the Indian Sub-Continent wherein the major controls of Indus water system essentially fell within the Indian dominion.

As such, soon after the division, the Indians started squeezing the waters flowing downstream into Pakistan and opened new controversies and tensions between the two countries. The effects of these tensions over the water flows were also felt world wide and in 1951 World Bank stepped in to diffuse the situation. The intervention by the World Bank ultimately resulted in the culmination of an agreement between India and Pakistan in 1960 to be referred to as Indus Water Treaty. The Indus Water Treaty grants complete rights over Eastern Rivers (Ravi, Sutlej and Beas) to India whereas Pakistan was granted with the rights on Western Rivers Jhelum and Chenab with some specific provisions under which India too could use the water of these two rivers.

The provisions included usage of these waters for domestic uses, non consumptive uses, limited agricultural uses, generation of hydroelectric power through run of rivers projects and storage to a limited extent. The mechanism to ensure that none of the two states violate provisions of the Treaty, appointment of Commissioners from either side was institutionalized. The Commissions thus formed are presently confronted with disputes over river water usages by India over Wullar Barrage, Baglihar Hydroelectric Plant and Kishanganga Hydroelectric Plant and none of these have been resolved as yet.

To delve on these outstanding water issues briefly, the Wullar Barrage Project is located on Jhelum Main River. The Project implicates artificial raising of water in Jhelum Main which does not go along with the provisions of the Treaty, Pakistan objected to the design of the Barrage. The matter was taken up by the respective Commissioners who failed to resolve the issue and as such the dispute was taken up at the Government level for its resolution. The matter remains pending due to Indian refusal to restart the composite level dialogue with Pakistan. Meanwhile, the work on the project remains suspended since 1987.

Sequel to the failure in resolving the Wullar Barrage issue, another controversial Project was initiated by India with regard to water distribution named as Baglihar Hydroelectric power project on River Chenab. After the respective |Commissioners and later the governments failed to resolve the issue, the dispute was referred to the World Bank for appointing a neutral expert to intervene. The neutral expert so appointed by the World Bank upheld Pakistan’s objections on free board, the project’s pondage and level of water intake. However, his determination regarding spill way, allowing India to draw down the water level in pond for flushing surpassed not only his given mandate but also violates the Indus Water Treaty. By overstepping the mandate given to the neutral expert he not only supported India but also provided Pakistan an alibi to take up the matter to a court of Arbitration.

The third water related issue is of Kishanganga Project which like the other two disputes failed to yield any results through bilateralism. Pakistan has now been forced to approach World Bank for appointment of a neutral expert to resolve this sensitive issue as well. India planned to divert water of Neelum River with its attendant shortfall of water in the river to foil Pakistani plans to construct Neelum-Jhelum Hydro Electric Project (N-JHEP), of which India was informed in 1988. Pakistan has already awarded contract worth $1.5 Bn to a Chinese Consortium for completion of the Project. The subsequent Indian plan divulged to Pakistan in 1994 of diverting the flow of Neelum River clearly violates Indus Water Treaty provisions, especially Article III and IV that specifically prelude such contingencies. Despite the fact that Pakistan has raised objections on Kishanganga Project, the plans to divert River Neelum’s water to construct the 330 MW Kishanganga power project near Wullar Lake are going ahead. The Indian move to starve Neelum valley of water, would cause environmental disaster for the valley besides severe repercussions on the agriculture sector of Azad Kashmir. The most adverse affect of the Indian plan of altering the original course of River Neelum Water would drastically affect Pakistani planned project “N-JHEP’ on River Neelum to generate electricity.

It is a pity that the Indus Water Treaty that was shaped to act as a role model to interact and resolve conflicts bilaterally in the context of India and Pakistan water issues, was not adopted as such in latter and spirit to resolve many other conflicts mainly due to the lack of sincerity and political considerations. Though the Treaty did survive two major wars between India and Pakistan yet, it no longer guarantees that India would not hesitate any more to subvert the spirit of the Treaty and engage in exploitation of Indus Water System Rivers to its total advantage.

 

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