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Wednesday, June 24, 2009, Jamadi-ul-sani 30, 1430

 
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Qaeda claim on Pak nukes propaganda

Comment
Dr Jassim Taqui
Deputy Editor (IR)

A fictitious Al-Qaeda statement claimed recently that it would use Pak nuke against the United States. This is a new addition to news leaks to the US media on US contingency plans to seize nuclear weapons of Pakistan.

It seems that people forgot about the mechanism of protecting Pak strategic assets and Pakistan’s strategic doctrine. The doctrine is based on the principle of minimum credible nuclear deterrence to deter all forms of external aggression. Additionally, the official doctrine is using nuclear posture to preserve territorial integrity against Indian attack, prevent military escalation, and counter its Indian conventional superiority.

Pakistan has also pledged no-first-use against non-nuclear-weapon states, but has not ruled out first-use against a nuclear-armed aggressor that attacks Pakistan.

Strategists have definitely addressed issues of survivability through second strike capability, hard and deeply buried storage and launch facilities, road-mobile missiles, air defences around strategic sites, and concealment measures.

Pakistan’s command and control over its nuclear weapons is compartmentalized and includes strict operational security. The government’s command and control system is based on “C4I2SR” (command, control, communication, computers, intelligence, information, surveillance and reconnaissance). Islamabad’s Strategic Command Organization has a three-tiered structure, consisting of the National Command Authority (NCA), the Strategic Plans Division (SPD), and the Strategic Forces Commands.

The NCA supervises the functions and administration of all of Pakistan’s organizations involved in nuclear weapons research, development, and employment, as well as the military services that operate the strategic forces.

The President is Chairperson of the NCA; the Prime Minister is the Vice-Chairperson. The NCA also includes the chair of the joint chiefs of staff, the Ministers of Defence, Interior, and Finance, the Director General of the SPD, and the Commanders of the Army, Air Force, and Navy. The final authority to launch a nuclear strike requires consensus within the NCA; the Chairperson must cast the final vote. The NCA is comprised of two committees, the Employment Control Committee (ECC) and the Development Control Committee (DCC), each of which includes a mix of civilian and military officials. The ECC’s functions include establishing a command and control system over the use of nuclear weapons.

The DCC “exercises technical, financial and administrative control over all strategic organizations, including national laboratories and research and development organizations associated with the development and modernization of nuclear weapons.

The SPD is headed by a Director General from the Army and acts as the secretariat for the NCA. The SPD’s functions include formulating Islamabad’s nuclear policy, strategy, and doctrine; developing the nuclear chain of command; and formulating operational plans at the service level for the movement, deployment, and use of nuclear weapons.

Pakistan’s nuclear weapons are reportedly stored unassembled, with the fissile core separated from the non-nuclear explosives. These components are stored separately from delivery vehicles.

As the United States prepared to launch an attack on the Afghan Taliban after September 11, 2001, former President Musharraf ordered that Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal be redeployed to “at least six secret new locations.”

This action came at a time of uncertainly about the future of the region, including the direction of U.S.-Pakistan relations. The leadership was uncertain whether the U.S. would decide to conduct military strikes against Pakistan’s nuclear assets if government did not assist the United States against the Taliban. Indeed, President Musharraf cited protection of Pakistan’s nuclear and missile assets as one of the reasons for Islamabad’s dramatic policy shift.

Pakistan has developed PALs (Permissive Action Links) for warheads. PALs require a code to be entered before a weapon can be detonated. The system requires that at least two, and perhaps three, people authenticate launch codes for nuclear weapons. Security at nuclear sites in Islamabad is the responsibility of a 10,000 member security force, commanded by a two-star general.

With these oversimplified facts, the fictitious Al-Qaeda and its supporters in some section of the media stand exposed. In no way the primitive Al-Qaeda or its ilk can ever dream of even locating the sites of Pak nukes.

 

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