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  Wednesday, May 7, 2008, Rabi-ul-Sani 30, 1429    

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SBP for shock absorbing economy

AS world oil prices are skyrocketing and touching $120 dollars a barrel and slow down of economy in US and Europe which will surely impact other parts of the world, State Bank Governor Dr Shamshad Akhtar has timely pleaded that Asian economies need policies capable of containing external shocks.

Delivering a key note lecture on “Asia: Impact of Recent Global Developments and Central Bankers’ Response” Dr Shamshad Akhtar said Asian Central Banks and governments need to better integrate with each other to mitigate and hedge such risks in the future and work for developments in their own region. Coming back home, Pakistan faces the looming threat of a sharp economic downturn in the backdrop of high inflation, global financial, oil and food crises, energy shortages, capital flight, stagnant exports, falling foreign exchange reserves, a depreciating currency and slowdown in investment activity over and above the budgetary overruns and current account deficit. Keeping these challenges in view, the country needs to develop an economic policy which can absorb unexpected upheavals. Unfortunately since the inception of Pakistan our economy has never been stable except a few patches, mainly due to inherent weaknesses and world economic developments. With rising oil prices and warnings of world food shortages, a horrible scenario is emerging and it is feared by international economic and food experts that food shortages and higher prices could cause upheavals. In this perspective, word of advice from the State Bank Governor deserves serious consideration by the economic managers of the new Government. At least the economic team can devise a farmer’s friendly policy to encourage maximum utilization of our fertile land for achieving self-sufficiency in food. If the prices of fertilizer and pesticides are brought down, the present procurement prices of various agricultural commodities give enough incentive to the tillers to boost production. The Government must also take harsh decisions to end smuggling, discourage import of luxury items and promote the culture of austerity and simplicity in the society. The Government must therefore start a dialogue with the business and other stakeholders to write a new social contract with the objective of introducing a comprehensive package of imaginative reforms to stabilize the economy in a way to absorb unforeseen shocks.

 

 

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